Market
Trump's primary strategy to end Ukraine conflict by Dec 31, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Economic sanctions on Russia • 25%
Military aid reduction to Ukraine • 25%
Other strategies • 25%
Statements from the White House or official policy documents
Story
President-elect Trump Calls Zelensky's Missile Strikes on Russia a 'Big Mistake,' Vows to Use U.S. Support as Leverage
Dec 12, 2024, 02:11 PM
President-elect Donald Trump, named Time magazine's Person of the Year, criticized Ukraine's use of U.S.-supplied long-range missiles to strike deep into Russia, calling President Zelensky's decision a 'stupid' and 'big mistake' that escalates the conflict. In an interview with Time magazine, Trump stated, 'I disagree very vehemently with sending missiles hundreds of miles into Russia. Why are we doing that?' He indicated he would not abandon Ukraine but would use U.S. support as leverage against Russia to negotiate an end to the war, emphasizing that escalating military actions worsen the situation.
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Military intervention • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Other • 25%
Economic Sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic Negotiations • 25%
Military Intervention • 25%
Other • 25%
Military support to Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Economic sanctions on Russia • 25%
Non-intervention • 25%
Full peace treaty • 25%
Other diplomatic resolution • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Military de-escalation • 25%
Economic aid package • 25%
Territorial concessions • 25%
Other • 25%
Military support to Ukraine • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
