Market
What will be the US government's final decision on TikTok's operational permit by December 31, 2025?
2
Donald Trump•Elon Musk•TikTok•Musk•Trump•United States•United States of America•Oracle•Larry Ellison
Resolution / Starting Odds
Permit granted with conditions • 25%
Permit granted without conditions • 25%
Permit denied • 25%
Decision delayed • 25%
Official statements from the US government or related regulatory bodies
Story
Trump Open to Musk or Ellison Buying TikTok, Proposes US Get 50% in Joint Venture
Jan 21, 2025, 11:10 PM
On January 21, 2025, President Donald Trump expressed openness to the idea of Elon Musk purchasing TikTok. When asked if he would support Musk buying the social media app, Trump responded, "I would be if he wanted to buy it." Trump also mentioned that he had met with TikTok's owners and suggested that the United States should receive half of the value if a deal is made. He stated, "You have an asset that has no value or has a trillion-dollar value. It all depends on whether or not the United States gives the permit. So what I'm saying is let the United States give the permit, and the United States should get half." Trump proposed that someone could "buy it and give half to the United States of America," and indicated he was also open to Oracle Chairman Larry Ellison purchasing the app. The idea involves a joint venture with the U.S. government, emphasizing that TikTok is worthless without a U.S. permit but could be worth up to $1 trillion with one.
View original story
Similar markets
Ban Lifted • 25%
Ban Implemented • 25%
Conditional Operation Allowed • 25%
No Decision Made • 25%
Allowed to Operate • 25%
Banned • 25%
Under New Ownership • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Partial Restrictions • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
No Action • 25%
Complete Ban • 25%
No action • 25%
Ban TikTok • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Allow with restrictions • 25%
TikTok remains with conditions • 25%
No changes • 25%
TikTok divested • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Unrestricted Operation • 25%
Temporary Allowance • 25%
Permanent Ban • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Conditional operation allowed • 25%
No decision made • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
No action • 25%
Impose restrictions • 25%
Ban TikTok • 25%
Sell to US company • 25%
Order shutdown • 25%
Grant permanent approval • 25%
Grant temporary extension • 25%
Impose restrictions • 25%
Allow without restrictions • 25%
Ban TikTok • 25%
Other • 25%
Impose new regulations • 25%
Remains banned • 25%
Sold to a US company • 25%
Resumes operations • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Other • 25%
Ban remains in effect • 25%
Ban lifted permanently • 25%
Temporary reprieve granted • 25%