Market
Final decision on TikTok in the US by December 31, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
TikTok banned • 25%
TikTok divested • 25%
TikTok remains with conditions • 25%
No changes • 25%
Official government announcements and legal documents
Story
Pam Bondi, Trump's Attorney General Nominee, Declines to Commit to TikTok Ban Enforcement Amid Supreme Court Case
Jan 15, 2025, 05:15 PM
During her confirmation hearing for Attorney General, Pam Bondi, nominated by former President Donald Trump, declined to commit to enforcing a potential ban on TikTok if it is not divested from its Chinese parent company. When questioned by Senator Richard Blumenthal about the enforcement of a TikTok ban, Bondi stated she could not discuss pending litigation related to the issue, referencing an ongoing case before the Supreme Court. Her responses indicated a reluctance to provide a definitive stance on the matter, which has been a point of contention in U.S. policy regarding the social media platform. Various reports noted her evasiveness on the topic, with Bondi not promising to uphold the ban during the hearing.
View original story
Similar markets
Permit denied • 25%
Decision delayed • 25%
Permit granted without conditions • 25%
Permit granted with conditions • 25%
No action • 25%
Sell to US company • 25%
Impose restrictions • 25%
Ban TikTok • 25%
Allowed to Operate • 25%
Under New Ownership • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Banned • 25%
Grant permanent approval • 25%
Order shutdown • 25%
Impose restrictions • 25%
Grant temporary extension • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%
Legal resolution favoring TikTok • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Legal resolution favoring US government • 25%
Allow with restrictions • 25%
Ban TikTok • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
No action • 25%
Conditional Operation Allowed • 25%
Ban Lifted • 25%
Ban Implemented • 25%
No Decision Made • 25%
Other • 25%
90-day extension granted • 25%
Deal finalized • 25%
Banned • 25%
TikTok operates with restrictions • 25%
TikTok remains banned • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No Action • 25%
Complete Ban • 25%
Partial Restrictions • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%