Market
What will be the status of TikTok in the U.S. and X in China by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
TikTok banned in U.S., X allowed in China • 25%
TikTok allowed in U.S., X banned in China • 25%
Both TikTok and X allowed in respective countries • 25%
Both TikTok and X banned in respective countries • 25%
Official announcements from TikTok, ByteDance, or related governmental agencies
Story
Elon Musk Opposes TikTok Ban Citing Freedom of Speech, Amid U.S. Supreme Court Ruling and Trump's Potential Reprieve
Jan 19, 2025, 03:06 PM
Elon Musk has publicly opposed the ban on TikTok in the United States, arguing that it contradicts the principles of freedom of speech and expression. He highlighted the disparity in the operational permissions of social media platforms between the U.S. and China, noting that while TikTok is allowed to operate in America, his platform X is banned in China. Musk stated, 'I have been against a TikTok ban for a long time, because it goes against freedom of speech. That said, the current situation where TikTok is allowed to operate in America, but X is not allowed to operate in China is unbalanced. Something needs to change.' This comes in the context of recent actions by the U.S. Supreme Court upholding a federal law that bans TikTok unless it is sold by its China-based parent company, ByteDance. Amid these developments, U.S. President-elect Donald Trump has indicated he might consider a 90-day reprieve on the ban after taking office.
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Similar markets
Banned in the U.S. • 25%
Remains with ByteDance • 25%
Sold to U.S. company • 25%
Operational changes without sale • 25%
Allowed to operate without restrictions • 25%
Allowed to operate with restrictions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Banned • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
Remains operational without changes • 25%
Banned completely • 25%
Sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Continues with conditions • 25%
Operations unaffected • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Acquired by US company • 25%
Sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Banned again • 25%
Partially owned by the U.S. • 25%
Remains unchanged • 25%
Other • 25%
Granted Extension • 25%
Banned • 25%
Sold to U.S. Entity • 25%
Operations continue as is • 25%
Sold to a US company • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Operational under new ownership • 25%
Remains operational without changes • 25%
U.S. government ownership • 25%
Operations banned • 25%
Resumes normal operations • 25%
Sold to U.S. buyer • 25%
Continues with ByteDance • 25%
Ceases US operations • 25%
Operates independently • 25%
Acquired by a US company • 25%
No change, TikTok operates as is • 25%
TikTok sold to non-Chinese entity • 25%
Extension granted, TikTok operates • 25%
TikTok banned in the U.S. • 25%
Banned • 25%
Divested • 25%
TikTok remains available without changes • 25%
TikTok available with ByteDance divestment • 25%
TikTok banned in the US • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Other • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Sold to another company • 25%
Continues operations without changes • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Banned • 25%
TikTok is sold to a U.S. company • 25%
TikTok remains operational • 25%
TikTok is banned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%