Market
What will be the public response to Luigi Mangione's trial outcome within one month of the verdict?
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Luigi Mangione•New York•UnitedHealthcare•Brian Thompson•Mangione•Pennsylvania•New York City•Eric Adams•Adams•Manhattan•Thompson
Resolution / Starting Odds
Majority support the verdict • 25%
Majority oppose the verdict • 25%
Public opinion is evenly divided • 25%
Insufficient data to determine majority opinion • 25%
Media reports and public opinion polls
Story
Luigi Mangione Extradited to New York, Faces Charges Eligible for Death Penalty in CEO Killing
Dec 19, 2024, 11:54 PM
Luigi Mangione, 26, has been extradited to New York to face federal charges in the shooting death of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson. Mangione is charged with first-degree murder and killing as an act of terrorism, which carry penalties up to life in prison. Federal prosecutors have charged him with murder through the use of a firearm and a firearms offense involving a silencer, stalking, and a count of murder that could bring the death penalty if convicted. Mangione waived extradition during a court appearance in Pennsylvania and was transported to New York via plane and helicopter. Upon arrival, he was escorted by New York City Mayor Eric Adams and law enforcement, with Mayor Adams personally overseeing the transfer. Mangione made his first appearance in Manhattan federal court and is being held without bail. Prosecutors allege that Mangione stalked Thompson for days before the killing, planning the attack methodically. A notebook recovered upon his arrest allegedly contained notes stating an intent to "whack" Thompson. Supporters of Mangione gathered outside the courthouse, some traveling from around the country and calling for changes to the U.S. private health care system.
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Similar markets
No Protests • 25%
Unclear/Other • 25%
Significant Protests • 25%
Minor Protests • 25%
Widespread protests • 25%
Minimal reaction • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Public support for verdict • 25%
Widespread protests • 25%
Other • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
General acceptance • 25%
Mixed • 25%
Outrage • 25%
Indifference • 25%
Support • 25%
Split opinion • 25%
Majority undecided • 25%
Majority believe guilty • 25%
Majority believe not guilty • 25%
Convicted of second-degree murder • 25%
Convicted of a lesser charge • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Guilty of lesser charge • 25%
Convicted of first-degree murder in furtherance of terrorism • 25%
Convicted of second-degree murder as an act of terrorism • 25%
Acquitted of all charges • 25%
Convicted of first-degree murder • 25%
Convicted of lesser charges • 25%
Guilty of second-degree murder • 25%
Guilty of a lesser charge • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Guilty • 33%
Not Guilty • 33%
Manslaughter conviction • 25%
Guilty of murder • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Convicted • 25%
Mistrial or other outcome • 25%
Convicted of murder • 25%
Convicted of lesser charge • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Guilty of lesser charge • 25%
Guilty of first-degree murder • 25%
Mistrial declared • 25%
Plea deal reached • 25%
Guilty of murder • 25%
Not guilty of murder • 25%
Guilty of first-degree murder • 25%
Guilty of lesser charges • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Guilty of all charges • 25%
Mistrial declared • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Convicted of lesser charge • 25%
Convicted of first-degree murder • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Guilty of some charges • 25%
Not Guilty • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Other • 25%
Guilty • 25%
Acquittal • 25%
Plea Deal • 25%
Conviction • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Guilty of lesser charge • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Guilty of a lesser charge • 25%
Guilty of second-degree murder • 25%
Guilty • 25%
Not Guilty • 25%
Other • 25%
Guilty of murder • 25%
Mistrial declared • 25%
Other verdict • 25%
Convicted of murder • 25%
Convicted of a lesser charge • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Mistrial or hung jury • 25%
Not guilty of murder • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Other Verdict • 25%
Life Imprisonment • 25%
Death Penalty • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Other • 25%
Not Guilty • 25%
Guilty • 25%
Mistrial • 25%