Market
What will be the public opinion on Luigi Mangione's guilt by end of 2025?
3
Luigi Mangione•Ivy League•UnitedHealthcare•Brian Thompson•Mangione•Maryland•Thomas Dickey•Pennsylvania
Resolution / Starting Odds
Majority believe guilty • 25%
Majority believe not guilty • 25%
Split opinion • 25%
Majority undecided • 25%
Public opinion polls and surveys
Story
Luigi Mangione Charged with Murder of UnitedHealthcare CEO Using 3D-Printed Ghost Gun
Dec 12, 2024, 01:31 AM
Luigi Mangione, a 26-year-old Ivy League graduate, has been arrested and charged with the murder of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson. Evidence linking Mangione to the crime includes fingerprints found on a water bottle and a chocolate bar near the crime scene, as well as shell casings matching those from the 3D-printed ghost gun found on him. Mangione, who comes from a wealthy Maryland family involved in healthcare and country clubs, allegedly planned the assassination, preferring a targeted shooting over a bomb to avoid harming innocent bystanders. His defense attorney, Thomas Dickey, has begun representing him in Pennsylvania, where Mangione faces gun charges. The case has drawn significant public attention, with an online fundraiser for Mangione's legal defense receiving over a thousand donations.
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Similar markets
General acceptance • 25%
Other • 25%
Widespread protests • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Outrage • 25%
Mixed • 25%
Indifference • 25%
Support • 25%
Guilty of lesser charge • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Not guilty of murder • 25%
Guilty of murder • 25%
Guilty of first-degree murder • 25%
Mistrial declared • 25%
Plea deal reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Guilty of lesser charge • 25%
Convicted • 25%
Mistrial or other outcome • 25%
Convicted of second-degree murder • 25%
Convicted of a lesser charge • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Manslaughter conviction • 25%
Guilty of murder • 25%
Convicted of murder • 25%
Convicted of lesser charge • 25%
Guilty • 33%
Not Guilty • 33%
Case dismissed • 25%
Convicted of first-degree murder • 25%
Guilty of a lesser charge • 25%
Guilty of second-degree murder • 25%
Convicted of lesser charges • 25%
Convicted of first-degree murder in furtherance of terrorism • 25%
Convicted of second-degree murder as an act of terrorism • 25%
Acquitted of all charges • 25%
Guilty of some charges • 25%
Mistrial declared • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Convicted of lesser charge • 25%
Convicted of first-degree murder • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Guilty of all charges • 25%
Guilty of lesser charges • 25%
Guilty of first-degree murder • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Guilty • 25%
Other • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Not Guilty • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Convicted of second-degree murder • 25%
Acquitted of all murder charges • 25%
Convicted of first-degree murder • 25%
Other charges • 25%
Not convicted • 25%
First-degree murder • 25%
Second-degree murder • 25%
