Market
What will be the primary reason cited for suspending Afghan refugee flights by March 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Security concerns • 25%
Political strategy • 25%
Resource constraints • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements or press releases from the Trump administration
Story
Trump Cancels Flights for 1,660 Afghan Refugees Amid Immigration Crackdown
Jan 20, 2025, 10:18 PM
The Trump administration has canceled flights for nearly 1,660 Afghan refugees who were cleared by the U.S. government to resettle in the United States, following President Donald Trump's order to suspend U.S. refugee programs. This group includes family members of active-duty U.S. military personnel and former Afghan soldiers at risk of Taliban retribution. The cancellations are part of Trump's broader immigration crackdown, leaving thousands of other approved Afghan refugees in limbo, awaiting flights from Afghanistan or Pakistan. The decision reflects Trump's campaign promise to restrict immigration, casting uncertainty over the future of U.S. refugee programs.
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Other • 25%
Security concerns • 25%
Political instability in Syria • 25%
Administrative review • 25%
Economic reasons • 25%
Other • 25%
Health concerns • 25%
National security • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Other reasons • 25%
Budgetary reasons • 25%
Security concerns • 25%
Information flow review • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Surveillance • 25%
Recreational use • 25%
Technical malfunction • 25%
Other • 25%
Immigration Control • 25%
National Security • 25%
Public Health • 25%
Resource constraints • 25%
Public backlash • 25%
Legal challenges • 25%
Policy change • 25%
Threat from rebel forces • 25%
General instability in the region • 25%
Other • 25%
Security risks from Assad's forces • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Resume as before • 25%
Extend suspension • 25%
Terminate program • 25%
Resume with modifications • 25%