Market
Primary reason cited if ICE operations are halted by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Legal challenges • 25%
Public backlash • 25%
Resource constraints • 25%
Policy change • 25%
Official announcements from ICE or government agencies
Story
Tom Homan Announces ICE Operations to Deport Over 700,000 Illegal Immigrants with Criminal Records Starting January 21, 2025
Jan 21, 2025, 06:57 PM
Tom Homan, President Donald Trump's border czar, has announced that Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) has initiated targeted operations across the United States to apprehend and deport illegal immigrants. The operations, which began on January 21, 2025, prioritize public safety threats, focusing on the over 700,000 illegal immigrants in America with criminal records. Homan emphasized that these are not random raids but well-planned enforcement actions aimed at enforcing immigration laws. The operations follow Trump's executive orders aimed at tightening border security and enforcing immigration policies, including the revocation of restrictions on immigration enforcement in sensitive locations such as schools, hospitals, and churches.
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Political pressure • 25%
Policy changes • 25%
Operational enhancements • 25%
Other • 25%
Strongly Support • 25%
Oppose • 25%
Strongly Oppose • 25%
Support • 25%
Operations Partially Blocked • 25%
Operations Partially Upheld • 25%
Operations Fully Upheld • 25%
Operations Fully Blocked • 25%
Policy changes or reforms • 25%
Increased public opposition • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Increased deportations • 25%
Policy realignment • 25%
Other • 25%
Political reasons • 25%
Performance issues • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased border security • 25%
Policy changes • 25%
International agreements • 25%
Public safety threats • 25%
Non-criminals • 25%
Other • 25%
Criminals • 25%
Discrimination concerns • 25%
Legal violations • 25%
Economic impact • 25%
Other • 25%
Schools • 25%
Hospitals • 25%
Other • 25%
Churches • 25%