Market
What will be the outcome of Uyghur jihadists' operations aimed at destabilizing China by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant destabilization • 25%
Minor destabilization • 25%
No impact • 25%
Countered by Chinese government • 25%
Reports from Chinese government or international news agencies
Story
Uyghur Jihadists in Syria, Backed by CIA and Turkey, Prepare to Target China Amid U.S. Support Concerns
Dec 14, 2024, 07:28 AM
Recent reports indicate a growing concern regarding Uyghur jihadists in Syria, who are allegedly receiving support from Turkey and the CIA. These groups, described as 'Chinese Syrian rebels' from Xinjiang, are reportedly preparing for operations aimed at destabilizing China. Some sources suggest that these jihadists may attempt to infiltrate China disguised as laborers and merchants, potentially leading to increased tensions in the region. The situation is further complicated by the U.S. government's previous decision to remove certain Xinjiang separatist groups from its list of terrorist organizations, raising questions about the implications for U.S.-China relations. Reports also highlight that Chinese jihadists previously aided in the ousting of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad and are now expressing intentions to return to China to continue their efforts against the Chinese government.
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