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What will be the outcome of Trump's demand for Greenland by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Denmark agrees to negotiate • 25%
U.S. imposes tariffs • 25%
Greenland holds referendum • 25%
No significant developments • 25%
Official statements from the U.S. or Danish governments, or international news reports
Story
Trump Demands Greenland from Denmark for National Security, Threatens High Tariffs Over China, Russia Threats
Jan 7, 2025, 05:26 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has stated that the United States needs Greenland for national security purposes, suggesting that Denmark should relinquish control of the territory to protect the 'free world'. Trump has threatened to impose high tariffs on Denmark if they do not agree to transfer Greenland to the U.S. He has cited the strategic value of Greenland in countering threats from China and Russia, claiming that their ships are visible around the territory. Trump also questioned Denmark's legal right to Greenland, suggesting that the population might vote for independence or to join the U.S. if given the opportunity.
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Purchase negotiations ongoing • 25%
No official negotiations initiated • 25%
Purchase completed • 25%
Purchase negotiations terminated • 25%
No change in status • 25%
Greenland joins U.S. • 25%
Greenland gains independence • 25%
Greenland remains with Denmark • 25%
Denmark agrees to negotiations • 25%
Denmark rejects the demand • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Greenland gains more autonomy • 25%
Rejected by Denmark • 25%
Accepted by Denmark • 25%
Withdrawn by U.S. • 25%
No Proposal Made • 25%
Proposal rejected • 25%
Denmark agrees to lease parts of Greenland to the US • 25%
Greenland remains under Danish control • 25%
Negotiations initiated • 25%
No official response • 25%
Greenland is acquired by the US • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Purchase rejected • 25%
Purchase completed • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
No official proposal made • 25%
Talks initiated but no acquisition • 25%
No talks initiated • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Successful acquisition • 25%
Negotiations Started • 25%
Formal Proposal Made • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%
Interest Withdrawn • 25%
Greenland joins the U.S. • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Denmark rejects offer • 25%
Offer Rejected by Denmark • 25%
No Formal Offer Made • 25%
Negotiations Ongoing • 25%
Purchase Agreement Reached • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Accepted • 25%
Rejected • 25%
No formal proposal made • 25%
Greenland acquisition successful • 25%
U.S. withdraws interest • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Greenland acquisition rejected • 25%