Market
What will be the outcome of Tom Homan's border actions in Chicago by March 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant increase in deportations • 25%
Minor increase in deportations • 25%
No change in deportations • 25%
Decrease in deportations • 25%
Reports from the Department of Homeland Security, local law enforcement, or credible news outlets
Story
Trump's Border Czar Tom Homan Promises Mass Deportations and Crackdown on Cartels, Starting in Chicago on Day 1
Dec 22, 2024, 05:02 PM
President Donald Trump has appointed Tom Homan as the new Border Czar, a move praised by Texas Governor Greg Abbott for Homan's tough stance on border security. Homan has promised swift action to secure the southern border, including mass deportations and a crackdown on criminal cartels. He has warned that he will arrest Arizona Governor Katie Hobbs if she interferes with these efforts. Homan has also stated his intention to reduce the use of ankle monitors for immigrant gang members, opting instead to incarcerate them. He has put mayors on notice, asserting that a secure border saves lives and that he will not be deterred by opposition from sanctuary cities or local officials. Homan has specifically mentioned that he will be in Chicago, Illinois on Day 1 to address border issues there. He has emphasized that illegal aliens will be sent home and that criminal cartels will be put out of business.
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Similar markets
Indifferent or low public awareness • 25%
Predominantly negative • 25%
Predominantly positive • 25%
Mixed • 25%
Modified • 25%
Proceed as planned • 25%
Cancelled • 25%
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Stricter deportation policies implemented • 25%
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Policies favoring immigrant protection • 25%
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Major success with over 1000 arrests • 25%
Operation halted or cancelled • 25%
Limited success with fewer than 500 arrests • 25%
Moderate success with 500 to 999 arrests • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Other outcome • 25%
Raids fully prevented • 25%
Raids conducted as planned • 25%
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Successful deportation of undocumented immigrants • 25%
Raids blocked by local authorities • 25%
Successful implementation • 25%
Policy stalled • 25%
Policy reversed • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Raid partially completed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Raid obstructed/canceled • 25%
Raid completed as planned • 25%