Market
What will be the outcome of the ICE raid in Chicago during the week of January 21, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Raid completed as planned • 25%
Raid partially completed • 25%
Raid obstructed/canceled • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Reports from major news outlets or official statements from ICE and local authorities
Story
Trump to Launch Mass Deportation Raids in Chicago Day After Inauguration; Mayor Vows Opposition
Jan 18, 2025, 01:51 AM
Following President-Elect Donald Trump's inauguration, the incoming administration is planning a large-scale immigration raid in Chicago next week, marking the first move in his promised mass deportation campaign. According to four people familiar with the planning, Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) will deploy between 100 and 200 officers to carry out the operation, which is scheduled to begin on Tuesday morning, the day after the inauguration, and may last all week. Mayor Brandon Johnson is reportedly promising to stand in the way of the operation. Chicago is expected to be the first city targeted, with other sanctuary cities potentially following. Sources have described the planned raid as a "big f–king operation."
View original story
Similar markets
Successful with resistance • 25%
Successful with no resistance • 25%
Unsuccessful • 25%
Postponed or canceled • 25%
Postponed • 25%
Modified • 25%
Cancelled • 25%
Proceed as planned • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Raids postponed or cancelled • 25%
Raids blocked by local authorities • 25%
Successful deportation of undocumented immigrants • 25%
Raids conducted as planned • 25%
Raids partially conducted • 25%
Raids fully prevented • 25%
Raids postponed • 25%
Raids fully prevented • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Raids conducted as planned • 25%
Raids partially conducted • 25%
Majority support the raids • 25%
Public opinion is divided • 25%
Majority oppose the raids • 25%
Insufficient data to determine • 25%
Official condemnation • 25%
No protests • 25%
Major protests • 25%
Minor protests • 25%
Other forms of public response • 25%
No protests • 25%
Minor protests • 25%
Significant protests • 25%