Market
What will be the outcome of the planned immigration raids in Chicago by Jan 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Proceed as planned • 25%
Cancelled • 25%
Postponed • 25%
Modified • 25%
Reports from credible news agencies such as CNN, The New York Times, or official government announcements
Story
Trump's Tom Homan Reconsiders Chicago Immigration Raids Next Week After Leaks
Jan 18, 2025, 11:50 PM
Tom Homan, the incoming border czar for the Trump administration, has indicated that plans for an immigration enforcement operation in Chicago, initially scheduled for next week, are under reconsideration. This decision follows the premature leaking of preliminary details regarding the raids, which would have marked a significant enforcement effort in the city. Homan emphasized that the administration is assessing the situation, stating that the leak has put officers at risk and that the decision will be influenced by the circumstances surrounding the leak. The potential operation was characterized as a major initiative to round up undocumented immigrants in both Chicago and New York City.
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Similar markets
Raid obstructed/canceled • 25%
Raid partially completed • 25%
Raid completed as planned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Raids blocked by local authorities • 25%
Raids postponed or cancelled • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Successful deportation of undocumented immigrants • 25%
Raids fully prevented • 25%
Raids partially conducted • 25%
Raids conducted as planned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Public opinion is divided • 25%
Insufficient data to determine • 25%
Majority oppose the raids • 25%
Majority support the raids • 25%
Successful with resistance • 25%
Postponed or canceled • 25%
Unsuccessful • 25%
Successful with no resistance • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Minimal public attention • 25%
Widespread support • 25%
Widespread opposition • 25%
Raids postponed • 25%
Raids fully prevented • 25%
Raids conducted as planned • 25%
Raids partially conducted • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%