Market
What will be the outcome of the Trump-Putin talks on Ukraine?
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Donald Trump•Russia•Vladimir Putin•Ukraine•Trump•White House•European Union•Kyiv•Putin•Ukrainian•Volodymyr Zelensky
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
No agreement, but talks continue • 25%
No agreement, talks end • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official statements from the U.S. or Russian governments and coverage by major news outlets
Story
Trump Indicates Likely Sanctions on Russia, Urges EU to Boost Ukraine Aid if Putin Refuses Ceasefire
Jan 21, 2025, 11:10 PM
U.S. President Donald Trump has indicated that he would likely impose additional sanctions on Russia if President Vladimir Putin refuses to negotiate a ceasefire in the ongoing war with Ukraine. Trump made these remarks during a press conference at the White House, emphasizing that the conflict would not have occurred if he had been president at the time of its onset. He also mentioned that his administration is considering the continuation of U.S. military aid to Ukraine, and stressed that the European Union should increase its support for Kyiv. Trump noted that talks with Putin are planned soon, and he believes Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky wants peace.
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Formal peace agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Postponement of discussions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Agreement to meet for negotiations • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Agreement on further talks • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Agreement on principles • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Commitment to future talks • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Continued negotiations • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Agreement without security guarantees • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Agreement with security guarantees • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Partial agreement, no territorial changes • 25%
Full peace agreement reached • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
Economic sanctions discussion • 25%
Military withdrawal plans • 25%
Ceasefire negotiations • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Peace Agreement • 25%
Talks Not Held • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
No agreements reached • 25%
Significant progress towards peace • 25%
Minor agreements reached • 25%
Agreement on ceasefire • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Agreement on peace talks • 25%
Meeting postponed • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Agreement in principle • 25%
No agreement • 25%