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What will be the outcome of the rebel advance towards Damascus by April 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Rebels fully encircle Damascus • 25%
Rebels partially encircle Damascus • 25%
Rebels fail to encircle Damascus • 25%
Rebels retreat from Damascus • 25%
Reports from international news agencies such as BBC, Reuters, or Al Jazeera
Story
Syrian Rebels, Including HTS, Enter Final Stages to Encircle Damascus
Dec 7, 2024, 12:21 PM
Syrian rebels, including the Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), have announced the commencement of operations to encircle the capital city of Damascus. This strategic move comes as part of a rapid advance by the opposition forces, who have been closing in on the city, with reports indicating they are now at the gates of Homs. The rebels' push towards Damascus is described as entering its final stages, with the aim of surrounding the Syrian capital.
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Stalemate ensues • 25%
Rebels capture Damascus • 25%
Assad retains control • 25%
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Stalemate with no decisive control • 25%
Rebels encircle but do not capture Damascus • 25%
Government retains control of Damascus • 25%
Rebels capture Damascus • 25%
Government forces repel rebels • 25%
Peace negotiations initiated • 25%
Rebels capture Damascus • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Rebels control Damascus • 25%
Assad retains control • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Government regains lost territory • 25%
Rebels fully encircle Damascus • 25%
Ceasefire agreed • 25%
Rebels halted before reaching Damascus • 25%
Rebels capture Damascus • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Rebels retreat • 25%
Rebels gain significant territory • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Assad regains control • 25%
Other • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Other • 25%
Assad Regime retains control • 25%
Opposition takes control • 25%
Stalemate situation • 25%
Control fluctuates • 25%
Assad retains control • 25%
Rebels take full control • 25%
Government regains lost ground • 25%
Rebels gain control of Damascus • 25%
Rebels make significant gains but not Damascus • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%