Market
What will be the outcome of the investigation into X by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Formally charged • 25%
Investigation closed without charges • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Ongoing investigation • 25%
Official statements or court documents from the Paris judiciary
Story
X Under Investigation Since July for Complicity in Cyber Harassment Against Magali Berdah by Paris Judge
Dec 4, 2024, 08:18 AM
X, formerly known as Twitter, is under investigation by a Parisian judge for complicity in cyber harassment following a complaint filed by Magali Berdah. The inquiry, which has been ongoing since July, examines whether social media platforms can be held accountable for cyber harassment incidents. The investigation centers on accusations against X related to the harassment of Berdah, who has been a prominent figure in the public eye. The legal scrutiny raises questions about the responsibilities of social media networks in preventing and addressing harassment on their platforms.
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Other outcome • 25%
Justified • 25%
Unjustified • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No evidence of political persecution • 25%
Evidence leading to policy changes • 25%
Some evidence, no action • 25%
Bolsonaro found not guilty • 25%
Bolsonaro found guilty • 25%
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Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Confirmed suicide • 25%
Homicide • 25%
Accidental death • 25%
Unconfirmed cause • 25%
Charged and acquitted • 25%
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All officers disciplined • 25%
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Some officers disciplined • 25%
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Unresolved • 25%
Gang identified but not apprehended • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No conclusive identification • 25%
Gang identified and apprehended • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
No charges filed • 25%
Charges filed against President Yoon • 25%
Decree found legal • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Decree found unconstitutional • 25%
Convicted • 25%
No charges • 25%
Charged but not convicted • 25%
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