Market
What will be the outcome of the investigation into Biden-era federal practices by December 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
No evidence of political persecution • 25%
Some evidence, no action • 25%
Evidence leading to policy changes • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official government reports or press releases
Story
Trump to Sign Executive Order Ending Biden-era 'Weaponization' of Federal Government, Launching Full-scale Probe into Political Persecution
Jan 20, 2025, 05:12 PM
Former President Donald Trump announced plans to sign an executive order aimed at ending what he describes as the 'weaponization' of the federal government. This initiative will involve a comprehensive investigation into the practices of federal agencies during the Biden administration, particularly focusing on what Trump claims are politically motivated actions against conservatives, Christians, and parents. In his statements, Trump emphasized that the 'vicious, violent, and unfair weaponization of our Justice Department' will come to an end, asserting that the scales of justice will be rebalanced. The Attorney General is expected to lead the inquiry into these allegations of political persecution.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Other outcomes • 25%
Investigation leading to charges • 25%
Investigation with no charges • 25%
No investigation • 25%
Investigation, no action • 25%
Investigation, procedural changes • 25%
Investigation, impeachment proceedings • 25%
No investigation • 25%
Evidence found, no charges • 25%
No evidence found • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Evidence found, charges filed • 25%
Investigation concluded with charges • 25%
Investigation concluded with no charges • 25%
No new investigation • 25%
Investigation initiated • 25%
Impeachment inquiry continues • 25%
Impeachment inquiry dropped • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
New evidence introduced • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Decree found unconstitutional • 25%
Decree found legal • 25%
No evidence found • 25%
Evidence found, charges filed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Evidence found, no charges • 25%
Bolsonaro found guilty • 25%
Bolsonaro found not guilty • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
No Misconduct Found • 25%
Minor Misconduct Found • 25%
Significant Misconduct Found • 25%
Severe Misconduct Found • 25%
Operator remains unidentified • 25%
Identified foreign operator • 25%
Identified domestic operator • 25%
Other explanation • 25%
No charges filed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Charges filed against President Yoon • 25%