Market
What will be the outcome of the police shooting investigation by December 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Justified • 25%
Unjustified • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official report or press release from the Illinois State Police
Story
Nick Fuentes Survives Assassination Attempt by John R. Lyons, Triple Homicide Suspect, in Berwyn, Illinois
Dec 19, 2024, 08:32 PM
Nick Fuentes, a far-right streamer, reported an assassination attempt at his home in Berwyn, Illinois, on Wednesday night. The assailant, identified as 24-year-old John R. Lyons of Westchester, was armed with a pistol, crossbow, and incendiary devices. Lyons was killed by Berwyn police after he allegedly committed a triple homicide earlier that day in Mahomet, Illinois, killing Sara Mason, 26, Janis Mason, 61, and Caleb Mason, 23. During his attempt to evade police, Lyons broke into a nearby home and killed two dogs. The incident was captured on video, showing Lyons approaching Fuentes' door while Fuentes was livestreaming. Following the doxxing of his address, Fuentes stated he is unharmed and is seeking donations for private security. The Illinois State Police Public Integrity Task Force is investigating both the police shooting and the triple homicide.
View original story
Similar markets
Other Outcome • 25%
Suspect Convicted • 25%
Case Unresolved • 25%
Suspect Acquitted • 25%
Case remains unsolved • 25%
Suspect identified but not arrested • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Suspect arrested and charged • 25%
Determined as spontaneous • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Other • 25%
Determined as premeditated • 25%
Suspects charged • 25%
Case closed without charges • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Case remains unsolved • 25%
Suspects apprehended • 25%
No suspects identified • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Suspects identified but not apprehended • 25%
Case Cold • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Ongoing Investigation • 25%
Case Solved • 25%
Motives unrelated to Fuentes • 25%
Assailant part of a larger group • 25%
Assailant acted alone • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant findings • 25%
Other • 25%
Policy changes • 25%
Disciplinary actions • 25%
Disciplinary actions only • 25%
No actions taken • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Criminal charges filed • 25%
Case remains unsolved • 25%
Case solved with convictions • 25%
Case solved without convictions • 25%
Case closed without resolution • 25%
Suspect(s) arrested and charged • 25%
Suspect(s) identified but not charged • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Agents face criminal charges • 25%
Agents exonerated • 25%
Agents reprimanded • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Other findings • 25%
No wrongdoing found • 25%
FBI and DoJ found obstructing • 25%
New leads on shooter's motive • 25%