Market
What will be the outcome of the investigation into Yoon Suk Yeol by December 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
No charges • 25%
Charged but not convicted • 25%
Convicted • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official statements from South Korean judiciary or Corruption Investigation Office
Story
Yoon Suk Yeol Accused of Authorizing Military Force in Failed Martial Law Attempt Amid Third Summons and Arrest Warrant Possibility
Dec 28, 2024, 10:07 PM
Yoon Suk Yeol, South Korea's impeached president, has been accused of authorizing the military to use force during his failed attempt to impose martial law. According to a report from South Korean prosecutors, Yoon permitted the military to fire their weapons if necessary to enter parliament amid his efforts to impose martial law. This revelation has intensified scrutiny on Yoon, who has been under investigation for his actions related to the martial law declaration. Additionally, Yoon has refused to comply with a third summons from the Corruption Investigation Office, raising the possibility of an arrest warrant being issued against him. His refusal to appear for questioning is part of an ongoing investigation into allegations of insurrection and abuse of power linked to his martial law bid, which has been described as a significant political crisis in South Korea.
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Charged with lesser offenses • 25%
Charged with treason • 25%
Cleared of all charges • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Arrest Warrant Issued • 25%
Settlement Reached • 25%
Ongoing Investigation • 25%
Ongoing investigation • 25%
Conviction • 25%
Acquittal • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Conviction • 25%
Acquittal • 25%
Found not guilty • 25%
Charges dropped • 25%
Found guilty • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Other • 25%
Charges filed • 25%
No charges • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Pardoned • 25%
Convicted and sentenced • 25%
Released without charges • 25%
Ongoing trial • 25%
Convicted • 25%
Trial ongoing • 25%
Charges dropped • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Acquittals • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Ongoing Investigations • 25%
Convictions • 25%
No charges filed • 25%
Charges filed against other officials • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Charges filed against Yoon • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Charges Dropped • 25%
Not Guilty • 25%
Guilty of Rebellion • 25%