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What will be the outcome of the investigation into Ismail Haniyeh's assassination by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Mossad confirmed as responsible • 25%
Another entity confirmed as responsible • 25%
No conclusive result • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Reports from Iranian government or international intelligence agencies
Story
Israeli Channel 12 Details Mossad's Assassination of Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran Amid Hamas Denial
Dec 29, 2024, 09:32 AM
Israeli Channel 12 reported new details about the assassination of Ismail Haniyeh, the former head of Hamas's political bureau, in Tehran. The report claims that Haniyeh was killed by a bomb placed in his room at an Iranian guesthouse, specifically designed to target only him. The assassination occurred just before the inauguration ceremony of Iran's new President Masoud Pezeshkian, which Haniyeh had attended during his Tehran visit. The operation was described as one of the most complex and sensitive in the history of intelligence, with Mossad meticulously planning the attack after months of surveillance. Haniyeh was reportedly a key figure in planning attacks against Israel. However, Hamas has denied these claims, asserting that Haniyeh was assassinated using a guided missile containing 7.5 kg of explosives targeting his mobile phone, not a bomb in his room. The group emphasized that the attack was a violation of Iran's sovereignty and a multi-faceted crime.
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Rogue operation • 25%
Investigation not completed • 25%
No conclusive outcome • 25%
Justified action • 25%
Unconfirmed • 25%
Guided missile • 25%
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Bomb in pillow • 25%
Hamas held accountable • 25%
Israel criticized for response • 25%
Both sides criticized • 25%
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Other response • 25%
Confirms details • 25%
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No comment • 25%
Internal Hamas factions • 25%
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Mossad • 25%
Iranian dissidents • 25%
Condemnation of Israel • 25%
Calls for investigation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation of Iran • 25%
Charges against Feldstein • 25%
Charges against Rosenfeld • 25%
Charges against Netanyahu • 25%
No charges filed • 25%
