Market
Outcome of investigation into Hamas document leak by end of 2025?
3
Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Hamas•German•Bild•Eli Feldstein•Netanyahu•Feldstein•Oded Sporer•Ari Rosenfeld•Rosenfeld•Isaac Herzog•Shin Bet•Ronen Bar•Case 4000•Jerusalem District Court
Resolution / Starting Odds
No charges filed • 25%
Charges against Netanyahu • 25%
Charges against Feldstein • 25%
Charges against Rosenfeld • 25%
Official conclusions or statements from the Israeli government or judicial system
Story
Netanyahu Involved in Leaking Hamas Document to German Newspaper, Court Reveals
Jan 9, 2025, 12:28 PM
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu was involved in the leaking of a top-secret document related to a warning about a potential attack by Hamas to the German newspaper Bild, according to a newly released protocol of a closed-door court hearing in the classified documents case. The document was leaked by Eli Feldstein, who acted on direct instructions from Netanyahu. Feldstein's lawyer, Oded Sporer, stated that Netanyahu was aware of the document and its leak, and that the document was handed over to Netanyahu five days before its publication. The case also involves Ari Rosenfeld, a reserve army officer accused of passing the classified information to Netanyahu's office. Rosenfeld is seeking a preemptive pardon from President Isaac Herzog, who has consulted with Shin Bet chief Ronen Bar about the national security risks posed by Rosenfeld. Meanwhile, Netanyahu's trial on corruption charges, known as Case 4000, will continue on January 20, 2025, as the Jerusalem District Court has ruled that there will be no changes to the charges.
View original story
Similar markets
Rogue operation • 25%
No conclusive outcome • 25%
Investigation not completed • 25%
Justified action • 25%
Some allegations confirmed • 25%
All allegations confirmed • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
UNRWA exonerated • 25%
Hamas held accountable • 25%
No significant findings • 25%
Both sides criticized • 25%
Israel criticized for response • 25%
Another entity confirmed as responsible • 25%
No conclusive result • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Mossad confirmed as responsible • 25%
No conclusion reached • 25%
Figures confirmed accurate • 25%
Figures partially inflated • 25%
Figures significantly inflated • 25%
Israel found responsible • 25%
No conclusive evidence • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Other • 25%
Evidence of external involvement • 25%
Insufficient evidence • 25%
Clear evidence against Hamas • 25%
Other • 25%
Confirmation of current findings • 25%
Other • 25%
No conclusive outcome • 25%
Revised findings • 25%
Other • 25%
Mistake in targeting • 25%
Justified military action • 25%
No conclusive result • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Use of banned weapons confirmed • 25%
Use of banned weapons not confirmed • 25%
No investigation conducted • 25%
Technical malfunction • 25%
Other • 25%
Accidental explosion • 25%
Enemy action • 25%