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What will be the outcome of the FBI's internal investigation into the New Orleans attack by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
No major issues found • 25%
Procedural errors identified • 25%
Personnel changes recommended • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Official FBI reports or credible news coverage
Story
FBI Agent Alethea Duncan Reassigned After Mislabeling New Orleans Terror Attack on New Year's Day
Jan 17, 2025, 06:55 PM
Alethea Duncan, the FBI Assistant Special Agent in Charge in New Orleans, has been temporarily reassigned following her initial press conference statement that the attack in the city was 'not a terrorist event.' The incident, which occurred on New Year's Day, involved Shamsud-Din Jabbar driving a truck into a crowd on Bourbon Street, killing 14 people and injuring dozens. Jabbar, who had an ISIS flag in his truck, was killed by police after he began shooting at them. Despite Duncan's initial claim, subsequent statements from the FBI, Attorney General Merrick Garland, and President Biden confirmed the attack as an act of terrorism. The FBI has not provided details on Duncan's new position but confirmed she remains with the agency.
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Insufficient evidence • 25%
Part of larger network • 25%
Lone wolf attack • 25%
Other • 25%
Lone wolf attack • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Solely domestic actors identified • 25%
International terrorist group involvement • 25%
Foreign involvement • 25%
Lone actor confirmed • 25%
Accomplices identified • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Identified but not arrested all suspects • 25%
No suspects identified • 25%
Some suspects identified • 25%
Identified and arrested all suspects • 25%
Unresolved • 25%
Lone actor • 25%
Identified foreign group • 25%
Identified domestic group • 25%
Terrorism confirmed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Terrorism not confirmed • 25%
Non-terrorism violent crime charges • 25%
Other • 25%
Terrorism-related charges • 25%
No charges filed • 25%
Other • 25%
Lone wolf attack • 25%
Part of larger network • 25%
Unclear motives • 25%
Foreign influence confirmed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Lone actor confirmed • 25%
Accomplices identified • 25%
Partial apprehension of suspects • 25%
All suspects apprehended and charged • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
No suspects apprehended • 25%
Lone Wolf Attack • 25%
Other • 25%
Domestic Terrorism • 25%
ISIS Connection • 25%