Market
Outcome of FBI investigation into NOLA attack by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Solely domestic actors identified • 25%
International terrorist group involvement • 25%
Lone wolf attack • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Official FBI report or public statements
Story
FBI Probes New Orleans Terror Attack Leaving 10 Dead, 35 Injured; Suspect Jabbar Not Acting Alone
Jan 1, 2025, 07:10 PM
On January 1, 2025, a vehicle-ramming and shooting attack occurred on Bourbon Street in New Orleans, leaving at least ten people dead and 35 injured, including two police officers who were shot. The FBI announced that they are investigating the incident as an act of terrorism. The suspect, identified as Shamsud-Din Jabbar, was killed in a confrontation with law enforcement. FBI Assistant Special Agent in Charge Aletha Duncan stated, "We do not believe that Jabbar was solely responsible," and urged the public to assist in tracking down his associates. President Joe Biden confirmed that the FBI is leading the investigation into the attack. The FBI is aggressively pursuing all leads related to the incident.
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All suspects apprehended and charged • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
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Other • 25%
Lone wolf attack • 25%
Part of larger network • 25%
Insufficient evidence • 25%
Terrorism confirmed • 25%
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No suspect identified • 25%
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Acted alone • 25%
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Unclear or inconclusive • 25%
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Part of larger terror cell • 25%
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Some suspects identified • 25%
Identified but not arrested all suspects • 25%
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Lone actor confirmed • 25%
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