Market
What will be the outcome of the conflict in the Donetsk People's Republic by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Russia retains control • 25%
Ukraine regains control • 25%
Stalemate with no clear control • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Reports from international observers and credible news agencies
Story
Russia Launches Massive Strike on Ukraine After ATACMS Use; Captures Veselyi Hai, Pushkino, and Shoots Down MiG-29
Dec 15, 2024, 09:16 AM
Russia has launched a 'massive' strike on Ukraine, citing the use of ATACMS missiles by Kyiv as the catalyst for this military action. The Russian military stated that the strike was a direct response to Ukraine's deployment of the ATACMS, which are advanced tactical missiles. This escalation comes amid ongoing hostilities in the region, with the Russian Defense Ministry also reporting the capture of two villages, Veselyi Hai and Pushkino, in the Donetsk People's Republic. Additionally, Russian forces claimed to have shot down a Ukrainian MiG-29 aircraft during this period of intensified conflict.
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Conflict intensifies • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
Stalemate continues • 25%
Ukraine regains all lost territories • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Russia controls additional territories • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Conflict ongoing • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Full peace agreement • 25%
Peace treaty signed • 25%
Other • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Peace treaty • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Conflict escalates • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Significant territorial changes • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Ukrainian control expands • 25%
Mixed control changes • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Russian control expands • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Full withdrawal of Russian forces • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Temporary ceasefire • 25%
Full peace agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Military victory for Ukraine • 25%
Military victory for Russia • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%
Peace Agreement Signed • 25%
Other • 25%
Continued Conflict • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Peace agreement with security guarantees • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Peace agreement without security guarantees • 25%