Market
What will be the outcome of OpenAI's restructuring plan by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Successfully restructures into a PBC • 25%
Remains as current structure • 25%
Adopts a different structure • 25%
Decision postponed beyond 2025 • 25%
Official announcements from OpenAI or filings with the Delaware Division of Corporations
Story
OpenAI Plans Delaware Public Benefit Corporation Restructuring to Separate For-Profit and Nonprofit Operations Amid Elon Musk Opposition
Dec 27, 2024, 01:03 PM
OpenAI's Board of Directors is currently evaluating the organization's corporate structure with the aim of establishing a more robust nonprofit entity supported by the success of its for-profit operations. The proposed restructuring would involve creating a Delaware Public Benefit Corporation (PBC) that could facilitate increased capital raising. This shift marks a significant transition from OpenAI's origins as a nonprofit research organization founded a decade ago. The plan, however, has encountered opposition from notable figures, including Elon Musk. The Board's initiative seeks to better align OpenAI's mission of ensuring that artificial general intelligence (AGI) benefits humanity with its operational framework.
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Similar markets
Restructures differently • 25%
Remains as current structure • 25%
Successfully restructures as PBC • 25%
Abandons restructuring • 25%
Remains a non-profit • 25%
Other restructuring • 25%
Traditional for-profit corporation • 25%
Delaware Public Benefit Corporation • 25%
Hybrid model • 25%
Remains non-profit • 25%
Fully transitions to for-profit • 25%
Other structural change • 25%
No change in funding • 25%
Nonprofit initiatives halted • 25%
Increased nonprofit funding • 25%
Decreased nonprofit funding • 25%
Neutral • 25%
No public statement • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Opposed • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Other changes • 25%
Addition of new tech leaders • 25%
Addition of financial experts • 25%
Transition with moderate profitability • 25%
No transition completed • 25%
Transition but with financial losses • 25%
Successful transition with increased profitability • 25%
Significant new funding secured • 25%
Partnership terminated • 25%
No new funding secured • 25%
Moderate new funding secured • 25%
Nonprofit arm expanded • 25%
Nonprofit arm restructured • 25%
Nonprofit arm remains unchanged • 25%
Nonprofit arm dissolved • 25%
Successful completion • 25%
Partially completed • 25%
Unsuccessful • 25%
Extended timeline • 25%
Partnership with a tech giant • 25%
Launch of a new product • 25%
Expansion into a new market • 25%
Other • 25%