Market
Outcome of joint counterterrorism operation in Jenin by March 31, 2025?
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Israeli•Jenin•West Bank•Palestinians•Palestinian Health Ministry•Shin Bet•Israelis•Palestinian Authority•PA•IDF
Resolution / Starting Odds
Dismantling of terror cell • 25%
Continued operations • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Operation ends without resolution • 25%
Official statements from Israeli authorities or credible news sources
Story
Israeli Drone Strike Targets Terror Cell in Jenin, Killing Six with Three Missiles
Jan 14, 2025, 11:55 AM
The Israeli military conducted a drone strike in the Jenin refugee camp in the West Bank, resulting in the deaths of six Palestinians, according to the Palestinian Health Ministry. The strike was part of a joint counterterrorism operation with the Shin Bet, targeting a terror cell linked to a recent attack that killed three Israelis. The operation took place amidst an ongoing siege by Palestinian Authority (PA) security forces in the area. Local sources reported that the strike involved three missiles targeting a group of young men. The IDF has not released further details on the operation.
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PA regains full control • 25%
Negotiated settlement reached • 25%
Militants retain control • 25%
Continued conflict with no clear control • 25%
Operation ongoing • 25%
Escalation to broader conflict • 25%
Partial withdrawal • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Increase in resistance activity • 25%
Significant reduction in resistance activity • 25%
Moderate reduction in resistance activity • 25%
No change in resistance activity • 25%
Operation inconclusive with ongoing clashes • 25%
Operation success with reduced militant activity • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Operation failure with increased tensions • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Dismantling of terror networks • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Peace talks initiated • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Assailants killed • 25%
Assailants captured • 25%
Other • 25%
Assailants remain at large • 25%
Mixed • 25%
Condemnatory • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Supportive • 25%
No significant developments • 25%
Increased tensions without capture • 25%
Successful capture of suspects • 25%
Other • 25%
