Market
What will be the outcome of investigations into military base drone sightings by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Identified and Addressed • 25%
Identified, No Action • 25%
Unidentified, No Further Action • 25%
Ongoing Investigation • 25%
Department of Defense or credible news reports
Story
Drone Sightings Surge with 5,000+ Reports in New Jersey and New York as Lawmakers Demand FBI Answers
Dec 26, 2024, 08:46 AM
In recent weeks, a surge of drone sightings across the United States, particularly in New Jersey and New York, has prompted concern among residents and officials. Lawmakers are now demanding answers from the FBI regarding the origins and purposes of these drones. Reports indicate that over 5,000 drone sightings have been recorded in New Jersey alone since mid-November. Eyewitness accounts describe various phenomena, including glowing orbs and large crafts, with some individuals questioning whether they are witnessing drones or unidentified flying objects (UFOs). The situation has escalated to the point where sightings have been reported over sensitive military bases and densely populated areas, leading to public alarm and speculation about potential surveillance activities. Despite the increasing number of reports, authorities have remained largely silent on the matter.
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No Threat Identified • 25%
National Security Threat • 25%
Other • 25%
Technological Malfunction • 25%
Identified domestic source • 25%
Identified foreign source • 25%
Source remains unidentified • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Other • 25%
Foreign government involvement • 25%
Domestic group or individual • 25%
No conclusive findings • 25%
Identified as private individuals • 25%
Identified as domestic entity • 25%
Identified as foreign entity • 25%
Remains unidentified • 25%
Identified as foreign surveillance • 25%
Remains unidentified • 25%
Identified as domestic surveillance • 25%
Identified as hobbyist activity • 25%
Other Conclusion • 25%
Security Threat Identified • 25%
No Threat Detected • 25%
Investigation Inconclusive • 25%
Unknown origin • 25%
Identified as foreign • 25%
Other • 25%
Identified as domestic • 25%
Identified as foreign drones • 25%
Unidentified by deadline • 25%
Identified as commercial drones • 25%
Identified as hobbyist drones • 25%
Identified as hobbyists • 25%
Classified as a threat • 25%
No conclusive findings • 25%
Linked to organized group • 25%
Security threat identified • 25%
Inconclusive results • 25%
No significant threat • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Identified but not apprehended • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No identification made • 25%
Identified and apprehended operators • 25%
Identified as domestic origin • 25%
Unknown origin • 25%
Identified as foreign origin • 25%
Deemed as non-threatening • 25%