Market
What will be the outcome of the federal investigation into the mysterious drones by December 31, 2025?
2
New Jersey•New York•Pennsylvania•Jeff Van Drew•Iranian•the Pentagon•Iran•Department of Defense•Homeland Security
Resolution / Starting Odds
Identified as foreign • 25%
Identified as domestic • 25%
Unknown origin • 25%
Other • 25%
Official reports from the Department of Defense or Homeland Security
Story
Pentagon Denies Iranian Link to Mysterious Drone Swarms Over New Jersey as Rep. Van Drew Calls for Action
Dec 12, 2024, 11:00 AM
Over recent weeks, mysterious drones have been spotted over New Jersey, New York, and Pennsylvania, causing concern among residents and authorities. Reports indicate that clusters of large drones, some described as the size of SUVs with a flat base and a tall turret, have been seen hovering over sensitive locations, including military research facilities, power lines, and suburban neighborhoods. These drones appear to avoid detection by traditional methods such as helicopters and radio. Residents have captured videos showing orbs and unidentified aerial phenomena lighting up the night sky. Rep. Jeff Van Drew suggested that an 'Iranian mothership' could be behind these drone sightings, citing 'very high sources' and calling for them to be shot down. However, the Pentagon has denied any connection to Iran, stating that there is 'no evidence' that the drones are from a foreign entity or adversary. The federal government is sending drone-specific radar to New Jersey to investigate the incidents. The Department of Defense and Homeland Security are investigating the incidents, while local and federal officials remain perplexed by the drones' origins and capabilities.
View original story
Similar markets
Identified as foreign drones • 25%
Unidentified by deadline • 25%
Identified as hobbyist drones • 25%
Identified as commercial drones • 25%
Operator identified • 25%
Operator not identified • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Remains unidentified • 25%
Identified as domestic entity • 25%
Identified as foreign entity • 25%
Identified as private individuals • 25%
Other Conclusion • 25%
Security Threat Identified • 25%
Investigation Inconclusive • 25%
No Threat Detected • 25%
Identified as manned aircraft • 25%
Identified as unauthorized drones • 25%
No conclusive identification • 25%
Other • 25%
Identified as domestic operators • 25%
Identified as foreign operators • 25%
No conclusive identification • 25%
Other • 25%
Identified domestic operator • 25%
Other explanation • 25%
Operator remains unidentified • 25%
Identified foreign operator • 25%
Identified domestic entity • 25%
Identified foreign entity • 25%
No conclusive identification • 25%
Other • 25%
Technological Malfunction • 25%
National Security Threat • 25%
No Threat Identified • 25%
Other • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Source remains unidentified • 25%
Identified as a foreign entity • 25%
Identified as a domestic entity • 25%
Identified as domestic origin • 25%
Identified as foreign origin • 25%
Unknown origin • 25%
Deemed as non-threatening • 25%
Identified as hobbyist activity • 25%
Cause remains unidentified • 25%
Identified as domestic activity • 25%
Identified as foreign surveillance • 25%