Market
What will be the resolution of the unidentified drone sightings by December 31, 2025?
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New Jersey•New York•Pennsylvania•Maryland•Virginia•Federal Aviation Administration•FAA•Virginia State Police•The Pentagon•FBI
Resolution / Starting Odds
Identified as hobbyist activity • 25%
Identified as foreign surveillance • 25%
Identified as domestic surveillance • 25%
Remains unidentified • 25%
Official statements from the FBI or other federal agencies
Story
FAA Imposes Drone Flight Restrictions in New Jersey Amid Widespread Sightings; FBI Investigates
Dec 21, 2024, 08:00 AM
Unidentified drones have been sighted across several states, including New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania, Maryland, and Virginia, prompting a significant response from federal and state authorities. The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) has imposed temporary flight restrictions on drones in multiple locations in New Jersey due to security concerns. The Virginia State Police are investigating over 150 tips related to drone sightings in the state. The Pentagon has deployed counter-drone systems to New Jersey, including active and passive detection capabilities and non-kinetic systems like drone busters. The sightings have led to public concern and speculation, with some officials questioning the government's response and transparency. The FBI has received thousands of reports and is investigating nearly 100 sightings that could not be attributed to manned aircraft.
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Similar markets
Unidentified and ongoing • 25%
Identified and ceased • 25%
Identified but ongoing • 25%
Unidentified but ceased • 25%
Unidentified but Resolved • 25%
Identified and Resolved • 25%
Identified but Unresolved • 25%
Unidentified and Unresolved • 25%
Technical Malfunction • 25%
Unresolved • 25%
Hoax • 25%
Intentional Surveillance • 25%
Technological Malfunction • 25%
National Security Threat • 25%
Other • 25%
No Threat Identified • 25%
Unresolved • 25%
Deemed a hoax or misunderstanding • 25%
Partially resolved with limited information • 25%
Resolved with clear explanation • 25%
Resolved with new regulations • 25%
Resolved with identification • 25%
Ongoing concerns • 25%
Resolved by technological solutions • 25%
Harmless activity • 25%
Security threat • 25%
Hoax • 25%
Unresolved • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Identification of owners • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Other • 25%
Identified as foreign • 25%
Other • 25%
Identified as domestic • 25%
Unknown origin • 25%
No conclusive findings • 25%
Identified as hobbyists • 25%
Linked to organized group • 25%
Classified as a threat • 25%
Identified as commercial drones • 25%
Identified as domestic drones • 25%
Identified as foreign drones • 25%
Origins remain unknown • 25%
Other • 25%
Commercial drones • 25%
Recreational drones • 25%
Foreign surveillance • 25%