Market
What will be the outcome of discussions on peacekeeping forces by April 30, 2025?
2
British•Keir Starmer•French•Emmanuel Macron•Ukraine•Russia•Downing Street•Élysée Palace•Macron•UK•Ukrainian•Volodymyr Zelenskyy•Polish•Donald Tusk•Starmer•European•US•Donald Trump
Resolution / Starting Odds
Agreement to deploy peacekeeping forces • 25%
Continued discussions without agreement • 25%
Proposal rejected by one or more parties • 25%
No official outcome announced • 25%
Official statements from UK, France, and Ukraine governments
Story
Starmer and Macron Discuss Sending Peacekeeping Forces to Ukraine for Ceasefire
Jan 16, 2025, 10:21 AM
British Prime Minister Keir Starmer and French President Emmanuel Macron have been discussing the deployment of peacekeeping forces to Ukraine following any potential agreement to end the ongoing conflict with Russia. The discussions have been kept secret, with both Downing Street and the Élysée Palace not denying the possibility. The proposal, championed by Macron, involves sending UK and French troops to Ukraine to oversee a ceasefire agreement. This idea has been discussed with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk. However, Starmer has not fully committed to the proposal, citing concerns over the safety of the troops and the potential for escalation. The discussions come at a time when European leaders are considering how to support Ukraine's sovereignty, especially with US President-elect Donald Trump's insistence on a peace agreement with Russia.
View original story
Similar markets
Discussions ongoing • 25%
No public statement • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Discussions abandoned • 25%
Troops Not Deployed • 33%
Indecision Continues • 34%
Troops Deployed • 33%
New terms negotiated • 25%
Ceasefire breakdown • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Agreement on extension • 25%
Both UK and France deploy • 25%
Only France deploys • 25%
Only UK deploys • 25%
Neither deploys • 25%
Other • 25%
No major action • 25%
Increased military aid • 25%
Deployment of troops • 25%
Discussions ongoing • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Proposal modified • 25%
European peacekeepers deployed • 25%
British peacekeepers deployed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No peacekeepers deployed • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
