Market
What will be the outcome of European discussions on peacekeeping troops in Ukraine by February 28, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Troops Deployed • 33%
Troops Not Deployed • 33%
Indecision Continues • 34%
Official announcements from European Union or involved countries
Story
Trump Urges European Peacekeeping Troops in Ukraine Amid NATO Membership Opposition
Dec 12, 2024, 06:24 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has outlined a plan to end the war in Ukraine, emphasizing European involvement in overseeing a ceasefire and providing military support to deter further Russian aggression. During discussions in Europe, Trump expressed his opposition to Ukraine's NATO membership but advocated for a strong, well-armed Ukraine post-conflict. European leaders, including French President Emmanuel Macron and Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk, have discussed the possibility of deploying European peacekeeping troops to Ukraine to monitor a ceasefire and ensure future peace. This proposal comes in the context of potential changes in U.S. policy towards Ukraine under the incoming Trump administration, with European countries considering increased defense investments and military support for Ukraine.
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No agreement • 25%
Discussions ongoing • 25%
Proposal modified • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Discussions abandoned • 25%
No public statement • 25%
Discussions ongoing • 25%
Deployment of troops • 25%
Other • 25%
No major action • 25%
Increased military aid • 25%
Other • 25%
No forces deployed • 25%
No, but other international forces deployed • 25%
Yes, EU forces deployed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No peacekeepers deployed • 25%
British peacekeepers deployed • 25%
European peacekeepers deployed • 25%
Agreement to deploy peacekeeping forces • 25%
Continued discussions without agreement • 25%
No official outcome announced • 25%
Proposal rejected by one or more parties • 25%
UK, France, Poland, and other EU countries • 25%
None of the above • 25%
UK and France only • 25%
UK, France, and Poland • 25%
