Market
What will be the primary concerns addressed in peacekeeping proposal discussions by June 30, 2025?
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British•Keir Starmer•French•Emmanuel Macron•Ukraine•Russia•Downing Street•Élysée Palace•Macron•UK•Ukrainian•Volodymyr Zelenskyy•Polish•Donald Tusk•Starmer•European•US•Donald Trump
Resolution / Starting Odds
Safety of troops • 25%
Potential for escalation • 25%
Both safety and escalation • 25%
Other concerns • 25%
Official statements or credible news reports summarizing discussions
Story
Starmer and Macron Discuss Sending Peacekeeping Forces to Ukraine for Ceasefire
Jan 16, 2025, 10:21 AM
British Prime Minister Keir Starmer and French President Emmanuel Macron have been discussing the deployment of peacekeeping forces to Ukraine following any potential agreement to end the ongoing conflict with Russia. The discussions have been kept secret, with both Downing Street and the Élysée Palace not denying the possibility. The proposal, championed by Macron, involves sending UK and French troops to Ukraine to oversee a ceasefire agreement. This idea has been discussed with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk. However, Starmer has not fully committed to the proposal, citing concerns over the safety of the troops and the potential for escalation. The discussions come at a time when European leaders are considering how to support Ukraine's sovereignty, especially with US President-elect Donald Trump's insistence on a peace agreement with Russia.
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Agreement reached • 25%
Discussions abandoned • 25%
No public statement • 25%
Discussions ongoing • 25%
Indecision Continues • 34%
Troops Deployed • 33%
Troops Not Deployed • 33%
Border security • 25%
Ceasefire monitoring • 25%
Other • 25%
Humanitarian aid • 25%
No major action • 25%
Deployment of troops • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased military aid • 25%
Demarcation line monitoring • 25%
Ceasefire enforcement • 25%
Humanitarian aid • 25%
Other • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Humanitarian aid • 25%
Diplomatic mediation • 25%
Peacekeeping forces • 25%
Territorial negotiations • 25%
Military support • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Humanitarian aid • 25%
Support for Israel • 25%
Condemnation of Israel • 25%
Calls for negotiation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Both UK and France deploy • 25%
Only UK deploys • 25%
Neither deploys • 25%
Only France deploys • 25%
Increased military cooperation • 25%
Other • 25%
Sanctions or diplomatic pressure • 25%
Successful peace talks • 25%
Other • 25%
Humanitarian aid • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Peace negotiations • 25%
European countries only • 25%
No third-party involvement • 25%
Non-European countries involved • 25%
British involvement • 25%