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What will be the outcome of Argentina's trade negotiations by the end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
FTA with US and stays in Mercosur • 25%
FTA with US and leaves Mercosur • 25%
No FTA with US and stays in Mercosur • 25%
No FTA with US and leaves Mercosur • 25%
Official announcements from the Argentine government, US government, and Mercosur, major news outlets
Story
Argentina's Milei Considers Leaving Mercosur for US Free Trade Agreement at Davos 2025
Jan 22, 2025, 05:01 PM
Argentine President Javier Milei has expressed his intention to pursue a free trade agreement with the United States, a move that could potentially lead to Argentina's exit from the Mercosur trade bloc if necessary. Speaking at the World Economic Forum in Davos 2025, Milei emphasized his commitment to advancing free trade treaties and opening up the Argentine economy. He hopes to reach a deal with the US without having to leave Mercosur, indicating that there are mechanisms within the bloc that could allow for such an agreement. Milei's comments come amid his administration's efforts to align with US policies and his criticism of Mercosur as a restrictive entity. The proposal to leave Mercosur, if needed, underscores the Argentine government's willingness to take drastic measures to enhance trade relations with the US.
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