Market
What will be the outcome of Apple's AI integration talks with Tencent and ByteDance by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Agreement with Tencent only • 25%
Agreement with ByteDance only • 25%
Agreements with both Tencent and ByteDance • 25%
No agreements reached • 25%
Official announcements from Apple, Tencent, ByteDance or major news outlets
Story
Apple in Early Talks With Tencent, ByteDance to Integrate AI Models Into iPhones in China Amid ChatGPT Ban
Dec 19, 2024, 06:50 AM
Apple Inc. is in early-stage discussions with Tencent Holdings Ltd. and ByteDance Ltd., the owner of TikTok, to integrate their artificial intelligence (AI) models into iPhones sold in China. This move comes as Apple seeks to enhance its AI offerings in the Chinese market, where OpenAI's ChatGPT is unavailable due to regulatory restrictions. The discussions are aimed at incorporating AI features into iPhones to meet local regulatory requirements and adapt to user preferences in China, especially as Apple faces a declining market share in the region. The talks are still in the preliminary stages, and no details have been made public yet.
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Successful product integration • 25%
Partnership expanded • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Partnership terminated • 25%
Merger Completed • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Merger Delayed • 25%
Merger Rejected • 25%
Positive market reaction • 25%
Negative market reaction • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Neutral market reaction • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
No negotiations • 25%
Talks collapse • 25%
TikTok remains under current ownership • 25%
Another U.S. company purchases TikTok • 25%
Elon Musk purchases TikTok • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Announce future removal or restrictions • 25%
Continue offering TikTok without changes • 25%
Remove TikTok from their platforms • 25%
Restrict access to TikTok in the US • 25%
Sold to Non-US Company • 25%
Other Resolution • 25%
Sold to US Company • 25%
Remains with ByteDance • 25%
Lawsuits filed • 25%
Restrictions imposed • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Formal warnings issued • 25%
