Market
What will be the main legal argument against Trump's birthright citizenship policy by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
14th Amendment Violation • 25%
Separation of Powers • 25%
Due Process Violation • 25%
Other Argument • 25%
Court filings and legal analyses
Story
Trump Plans to End Birthright Citizenship, Deport Mixed-Status Families
Dec 9, 2024, 07:15 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has announced plans to end birthright citizenship on his first day in office, according to a recent interview. This policy shift would challenge the interpretation of the 14th Amendment of the U.S. Constitution, which currently grants citizenship to anyone born on U.S. soil. Trump also indicated that he could deport families with mixed immigration statuses, signaling a potential change in immigration policy.
View original story
Similar markets
Struck down by Supreme Court • 25%
Upheld by Supreme Court • 25%
No change • 25%
Congressional amendment • 25%
Constitutional grounds • 25%
Procedural issues • 25%
Executive overreach • 25%
Other • 25%
Partially upheld • 25%
Dismissed • 25%
Upheld • 25%
Struck down • 25%
No decision • 34%
Upheld • 33%
Overturned • 33%
Separation of powers • 25%
14th Amendment interpretation • 25%
Presidential authority • 25%
Other • 25%
Challenge in progress • 25%
No challenge made • 25%
Unsuccessfully challenged • 25%
Successfully challenged • 25%
Order partially upheld • 25%
Case unresolved • 25%
Order overturned • 25%
Order upheld • 25%
Partially upheld • 25%
Upheld by courts • 25%
Struck down by courts • 25%
No decision by end of 2025 • 25%
Partially Upheld • 25%
No Ruling by Deadline • 25%
Upheld • 25%
Struck Down • 25%
Order blocked • 25%
No decision in 2025 • 25%
Order upheld • 25%
Order modified • 25%
Blocked by courts • 25%
Upheld by courts • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Overturned by legislation • 25%