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What will be the main findings of the investigation into the October 7 attacks by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
IDF operational failures identified • 25%
Intelligence failures identified • 25%
Both operational and intelligence failures identified • 25%
No major failures identified • 25%
Official report or announcement from the investigative committee
Story
IDF Chief Herzi Halevi to Resign March 6, Citing Responsibility for October 7 Attacks
Jan 21, 2025, 02:30 PM
IDF Chief of Staff Lt. Gen. Herzi Halevi has announced his resignation, effective March 6, 2025, taking responsibility for the military's failure during the Hamas attacks on October 7, 2023. In his resignation letter and a televised statement, Halevi stated, "I take full responsibility for the army's failure on October 7, 2023. The terrible failure haunts me every day and every hour." He called for an external committee to investigate the failures. He informed Defense Minister Israel Katz of his decision, citing the IDF's inability to prevent the surprise assault by Hamas that resulted in significant casualties and kidnappings. Additionally, the head of the IDF's Southern Command, Major General Yaron Finkelman, has also resigned.
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No charges filed • 25%
Other • 25%
Non-terrorism violent crime charges • 25%
Terrorism-related charges • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Unclear motives • 25%
Lone wolf attack • 25%
Other • 25%
Part of larger network • 25%
Identified and arrested suspects • 25%
Ongoing investigation • 25%
Other • 25%
No suspects identified • 25%
Accomplices identified • 25%
Foreign involvement • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Lone actor confirmed • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased surveillance measures • 25%
Stricter bomb-making material regulations • 25%
No significant policy change • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Part of a larger plot • 25%
Non-terror related • 25%
Lone wolf terrorist act • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No conclusive identification • 25%
Gang identified and apprehended • 25%
Gang identified but not apprehended • 25%
Unclear or inconclusive • 25%
Acted alone • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
No suspect identified • 25%
Suspect apprehended but not charged • 25%
Suspect apprehended and charged • 25%
Inconclusive due to lack of evidence • 25%
Part of a larger network • 25%
Other • 25%
Part of a larger plot • 25%
Lone wolf attack • 25%
Lone wolf attack confirmed • 25%
Part of larger terror cell • 25%
Domestic terrorism • 25%
Hamas held accountable • 25%
Both sides criticized • 25%
Israel criticized for response • 25%
No significant findings • 25%
Lone actor confirmed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Foreign influence confirmed • 25%
Accomplices identified • 25%