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Will an external committee be formed to investigate October 7 attacks by June 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the Israeli government or IDF
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IDF Chief Herzi Halevi to Resign March 6, Citing Responsibility for October 7 Attacks
Jan 21, 2025, 02:30 PM
IDF Chief of Staff Lt. Gen. Herzi Halevi has announced his resignation, effective March 6, 2025, taking responsibility for the military's failure during the Hamas attacks on October 7, 2023. In his resignation letter and a televised statement, Halevi stated, "I take full responsibility for the army's failure on October 7, 2023. The terrible failure haunts me every day and every hour." He called for an external committee to investigate the failures. He informed Defense Minister Israel Katz of his decision, citing the IDF's inability to prevent the surprise assault by Hamas that resulted in significant casualties and kidnappings. Additionally, the head of the IDF's Southern Command, Major General Yaron Finkelman, has also resigned.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Lone Actor • 25%
Domestic Group • 25%
Foreign Group • 25%
Unresolved • 25%
Minor infractions found • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Major wrongdoing found • 25%
No wrongdoing found • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Non-terror related • 25%
Part of a larger plot • 25%
Lone wolf terrorist act • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Other • 25%
Montenegro Police • 25%
Interpol • 25%
Joint Task Force • 25%
Major reforms recommended • 25%
Minor reforms recommended • 25%
No reforms recommended • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%