Market
What will be the level of US-Canada border security cooperation by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
High cooperation with joint operations • 25%
Moderate cooperation with information sharing • 25%
Low cooperation with minimal interaction • 25%
No cooperation • 25%
Joint statements or agreements between US and Canadian governments
Story
Canada Allocates C$1.3 Billion ($908M) for Border Security, Proposes Joint Strike Force Amid Trump Tariff Threat
Dec 17, 2024, 09:25 PM
The Canadian government has announced a comprehensive C$1.3 billion ($908 million) plan to enhance border security, a move prompted by US President-elect Donald Trump's threat of imposing 25% tariffs on Canadian exports unless Canada addresses concerns about the flow of migrants and illegal drugs across the northern border. The plan, which was part of the fall economic statement, includes the establishment of an aerial intelligence task force by the Royal Canadian Mounted Police (RCMP), utilizing helicopters, drones, and mobile surveillance towers for round-the-clock monitoring. Additional measures involve deploying new scanners and sniffer dog teams to detect and seize fentanyl, and increasing efforts to combat money laundering that finances cross-border crime. The initiative also proposes the creation of a 'joint strike force' with the US to patrol the border, aiming to strengthen security and monitoring efforts.
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Significant reduction in fentanyl trafficking • 25%
No noticeable impact • 25%
Improved detection but no significant trafficking reduction • 25%
Increased border tensions • 25%
Fully implemented • 25%
Rolled back • 25%
Not implemented • 25%
Partially implemented • 25%
Moderate Increase • 25%
Significant Increase • 25%
Decrease • 25%
No Increase • 25%
Increased integration • 25%
Other • 25%
Decreased cooperation • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Technological enhancements • 25%
Irregular migration • 25%
Drug trafficking • 25%
Aerial surveillance • 25%
Increased personnel • 25%
Advanced technology • 25%
International cooperation • 25%
Decreased cooperation • 25%
Deterioration of relations • 25%
Unchanged cooperation • 25%
Increased cooperation • 25%
Tariffs avoided through agreement • 25%
No resolution reached • 25%
Partial tariffs imposed • 25%
Tariffs imposed • 25%
Diplomatic tensions • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Strengthened security measures • 25%
Increased trade agreements • 25%
Formal merger talks • 25%
Strengthened economic ties • 25%
Increased military cooperation • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Immigration Policy • 25%
Security Policy • 25%
No Major Change • 25%
Trade Policy • 25%
