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What will be the level of U.S.-Mexico cooperation on cartels by end of 2025?
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Donald Trump•Mexican•Turning Point USA•Phoenix•Arizona•Trump•FBI•ICE•Claudia Sheinbaum•Mexico•Sheinbaum
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased cooperation • 25%
Decreased cooperation • 25%
Unchanged cooperation • 25%
Deterioration of relations • 25%
Joint statements from U.S. and Mexican governments or analysis by major news outlets
Story
Trump to Designate Mexican Cartels as Terrorist Organizations at Turning Point USA Event on January 20, 2025
Dec 22, 2024, 09:28 PM
President-elect Donald Trump announced plans to designate Mexican drug cartels as foreign terrorist organizations upon taking office on January 20, 2025. During a speech at a Turning Point USA forum in Phoenix, Arizona, Trump emphasized that he would expel all foreign gang members and utilize federal law enforcement agencies, including the FBI and ICE, to dismantle cartel operations. He stated, "I will immediately designate the cartels as foreign terrorist organizations" and pledged to launch an anti-drug advertising campaign to highlight the dangers of drug use. Trump's declaration has drawn a firm response from Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum, who stated that Mexico will not accept interference in its affairs, asserting the country's sovereignty. Sheinbaum emphasized the importance of collaboration with the U.S. while rejecting any form of subordination.
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Increased intelligence sharing • 25%
New bilateral agreements • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Significant joint operations • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Decreased cooperation • 25%
No change in cooperation • 25%
Increased cooperation • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Worsened relations • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
New diplomatic agreement • 25%
Disagreement and tension • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Continued negotiations • 25%
Agreement on joint action • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Designation as terrorist organizations • 25%
Military action • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic cooperation with Mexico • 25%
Opposed • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Other reaction • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Department of Defense • 25%
CIA • 25%
Department of Homeland Security • 25%
Department of State • 25%
Partial cooperation with U.S. initiatives • 25%
Opposition to U.S. initiatives • 25%
No cooperation with U.S. initiatives • 25%
Full cooperation with U.S. initiatives • 25%