Market
What will be the outcome of Canada's border security plan by end of 2025?
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Canadian•Donald Trump•Royal Canadian Mounted Police•RCMP•Canadian Drug Profiling Centre•Precursor Risk Management Unit•Safety•Dominic LeBlanc
Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant reduction in fentanyl trafficking • 25%
Improved detection but no significant trafficking reduction • 25%
No noticeable impact • 25%
Increased border tensions • 25%
Reports from Canadian government and independent security analyses
Story
Canada Launches $1.3B Border Plan with Aerial Task Force, Joint Strike Force to Counter Trump's Tariff Threat on Fentanyl
Dec 17, 2024, 10:47 PM
The Canadian government has announced a comprehensive $1.3 billion plan to enhance border security in response to U.S. President-elect Donald Trump's threat to impose a 25% tariff on Canadian goods. The plan includes the establishment of an aerial intelligence task force by the Royal Canadian Mounted Police (RCMP), utilizing helicopters, drones, and mobile surveillance towers for 24/7 monitoring. Additional measures involve deploying new scanners and sniffer dog teams to combat the flow of fentanyl, cracking down on money laundering, and proposing a joint strike force with the U.S. to address transnational organized crime. The initiative also includes the creation of a Canadian Drug Profiling Centre and a Precursor Risk Management Unit, alongside new port inspection facilities and immigration restrictions. Public Safety Minister Dominic LeBlanc emphasized that these steps aim to secure the border against illegal drugs and irregular migration while maintaining the free flow of legitimate trade.
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Similar markets
Rolled back • 25%
Not implemented • 25%
Partially implemented • 25%
Fully implemented • 25%
Implementation delayed • 25%
Partially implemented • 25%
Fully implemented • 25%
Not implemented • 25%
Drug trafficking • 25%
Technological enhancements • 25%
Other • 25%
Irregular migration • 25%
Increase in border incidents • 25%
Significant reduction in border incidents • 25%
Moderate reduction in border incidents • 25%
No change in border incidents • 25%
Drug trafficking prevention • 25%
Migrant flow management • 25%
Other focus • 25%
Money laundering prevention • 25%
Advanced technology • 25%
International cooperation • 25%
Increased personnel • 25%
Aerial surveillance • 25%
No cooperation • 25%
High cooperation with joint operations • 25%
Low cooperation with minimal interaction • 25%
Moderate cooperation with information sharing • 25%
Negative • 25%
Very Positive • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Somewhat Positive • 25%
Partial tariffs imposed • 25%
Tariffs avoided through agreement • 25%
Tariffs imposed • 25%
No resolution reached • 25%