Market
What will be the legal scholars' consensus on applying the 14th Amendment to Trump by January 20, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Majority agree applicable • 25%
Majority disagree applicable • 25%
Evenly divided • 25%
No consensus • 25%
Published articles and statements from leading legal scholars
Story
The Hill Suggests Congress Block Trump from Taking Office on January 20, 2025, Citing Section 3 of the 14th Amendment
Dec 26, 2024, 06:10 PM
An opinion piece published by The Hill has sparked controversy by suggesting that Congress has the authority to block Donald Trump from taking office, citing Section 3 of the 14th Amendment. The article argues that Trump, having been impeached and associated with the January 6 events, should be considered ineligible for the presidency. Legal scholars, including former editors of prestigious law journals, have endorsed this view, claiming that Congress must act swiftly to prevent Trump from being sworn in on January 20, 2025. The piece has drawn criticism from various political commentators, who accuse The Hill of inciting insurrection and undermining the electoral process. Some have called for accountability for those advocating such measures, while others argue that the notion of blocking a duly elected president contradicts democratic principles.
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Similar markets
Majority agree with blocking • 25%
Evenly split • 25%
Majority disagree with blocking • 25%
No consensus reached • 25%
Challenge upheld • 25%
Challenge dismissed • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Pending decision • 25%
Evenly split • 25%
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Blocked from office • 25%
Legal challenge ongoing • 25%
Allowed to take office • 25%
No action taken • 25%
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Trump disqualified • 25%
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
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No • 50%
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Due Process Violation • 25%
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14th Amendment Violation • 25%
Separation of Powers • 25%
Majority support blocking • 25%
No significant change • 25%
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Evenly divided • 25%
Upheld by Supreme Court • 25%
Congressional amendment • 25%
Struck down by Supreme Court • 25%
No change • 25%