Market
Will Congress formally debate invoking the 14th Amendment against Trump by January 20, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Congressional records and C-SPAN broadcasts
Story
The Hill Suggests Congress Block Trump from Taking Office on January 20, 2025, Citing Section 3 of the 14th Amendment
Dec 26, 2024, 06:10 PM
An opinion piece published by The Hill has sparked controversy by suggesting that Congress has the authority to block Donald Trump from taking office, citing Section 3 of the 14th Amendment. The article argues that Trump, having been impeached and associated with the January 6 events, should be considered ineligible for the presidency. Legal scholars, including former editors of prestigious law journals, have endorsed this view, claiming that Congress must act swiftly to prevent Trump from being sworn in on January 20, 2025. The piece has drawn criticism from various political commentators, who accuse The Hill of inciting insurrection and undermining the electoral process. Some have called for accountability for those advocating such measures, while others argue that the notion of blocking a duly elected president contradicts democratic principles.
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Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Blocked from office • 25%
Legal challenge ongoing • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Allowed to take office • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Other resolution • 25%
Pending decision • 25%
Challenge upheld • 25%
Challenge dismissed • 25%
Majority oppose • 25%
Majority support • 25%
Other opinion • 25%
Evenly split • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Other outcome • 25%
Attempt fails • 25%
Trump disqualified • 25%
No attempt made • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Action taken and successful • 25%
Action taken but unsuccessful • 25%
No action taken • 25%