Market
What will be the international response to U.S. pressure on Israel by May 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased support for U.S. stance • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Criticism of U.S. actions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Statements from international bodies like the UN, major news outlets
Story
Blinken: U.S. Pressure on Israel Caused Hamas to Withdraw from Ceasefire and Hostage Release Talks; Aid Threatened
Jan 5, 2025, 04:46 AM
U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken has revealed in an interview with the New York Times that public pressure from the U.S. on Israel has led Hamas to withdraw from potential ceasefire and hostage release agreements. Blinken noted that whenever there was 'public daylight' between the U.S. and Israel, Hamas perceived this as an opportunity to pull back from negotiations. He also expressed frustration over the lack of international pressure on Hamas to surrender and release hostages since the October 7 attack, describing the situation as 'astounding.' Blinken further disclosed that he had to threaten to cancel a planned visit by President Joe Biden to Israel if the country did not allow humanitarian aid into Gaza, a move that was eventually agreed upon after intense discussions with Israeli leadership.
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Neutral stance • 25%
Support from major powers • 25%
Condemnation by major powers • 25%
Diplomatic Measures • 25%
No Action • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
Condemnation without sanctions • 25%
Sanctions imposed on Israel • 25%
Other response • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Support for Israeli actions • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Support • 25%
Widespread support for Israel • 25%
Condemnation and sanctions • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Minimal international response • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Mixed • 25%
Critical • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
General support • 25%
Widespread condemnation • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation only • 25%
Support by NATO • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Mixed international response • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
No significant response • 25%
UN sanctions • 25%
US support • 25%
EU condemnation • 25%
UN issues a resolution supporting the ceasefire • 25%
UN issues a resolution condemning the ceasefire • 25%
No significant response from the UN • 25%
Mixed responses from international community • 25%
Strong condemnation and calls for sanctions • 25%
Minimal response with no significant action • 25%
Moderate criticism with calls for dialogue • 25%
Support for Israel's actions • 25%
General support • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Widespread condemnation • 25%