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What will be the international response to Narges Mohammadi's imprisonment by the end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased sanctions on Iran • 25%
Official condemnations • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other diplomatic actions • 25%
Statements from international organizations like the UN or Amnesty International, or major diplomatic actions
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Iran Frees Nobel Laureate Narges Mohammadi on 21-Day Medical Leave After Tumor Surgery
Dec 4, 2024, 12:05 PM
Narges Mohammadi, the Iranian human rights activist and 2023 Nobel Peace Prize laureate, has been temporarily released from prison for medical reasons, her lawyer Mostafa Nili announced. The Tehran prosecutor's office suspended her prison sentence for 21 days on the advice of the medical examiner due to her deteriorating health condition following surgery to remove a tumor and perform a bone graft 21 days ago. Mohammadi, who has been incarcerated since November 2021, has been suffering from various health issues, including heart disease, and is reportedly unable to walk. She was transferred from Evin Prison by ambulance to receive medical care. Her family has criticized the temporary release as 'too little, too late.' Mohammadi's bail was set at eight billion tomans.
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EU or US diplomatic actions • 25%
International NGO campaigns • 25%
No significant action • 25%
UN sanctions or resolutions • 25%
Return to prison • 25%
Sentence reduction • 25%
Extended medical leave • 25%
Full release • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Other • 25%
Permanent release • 25%
Extension of medical leave • 25%
Return to prison • 25%
Human Rights Watch • 25%
United Nations • 25%
Other • 25%
Amnesty International • 25%
Other international reactions • 25%
Condemnation from international bodies • 25%
Support for Iranian laws • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Case filed in international court • 25%
Case filed in German court • 25%
Joint international legal action • 25%
No legal action taken • 25%
Nobel Laureates • 25%
Amnesty International • 25%
United Nations • 25%
Other human rights organizations • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Legal appeal • 25%
Political reform • 25%
International pressure • 25%
Medical condition • 25%