Market
Leading organization advocating for Narges Mohammadi's release by mid-2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Amnesty International • 25%
Human Rights Watch • 25%
United Nations • 25%
Other • 25%
Reports from human rights organizations or international news coverage
Story
Iran Temporarily Releases Nobel Laureate Narges Mohammadi for Three-Week Medical Treatment
Dec 4, 2024, 11:54 AM
On December 4, 2024, Narges Mohammadi, the 2023 Nobel Peace Prize laureate and Iranian human rights activist imprisoned since November 2021, was temporarily released from Tehran's Evin Prison for three weeks on medical grounds. The Tehran prosecutor's office approved the suspension of her sentence following the medical examiner's recommendation due to her physical condition after undergoing tumor removal surgery and a bone graft 21 days ago. Her lawyer, Mostafa Nili, confirmed that she was released on bail of 8 billion tomans and left the prison in an ambulance. Family members have criticized the release as 'too little, too late,' expressing concerns over her health, including heart disease and inadequate post-surgical care leading to bedsores.
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Other human rights organizations • 25%
Nobel Laureates • 25%
Amnesty International • 25%
United Nations • 25%
Increased sanctions on Iran • 25%
Other diplomatic actions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Official condemnations • 25%
Political reform • 25%
International pressure • 25%
Medical condition • 25%
Legal appeal • 25%
UN sanctions or resolutions • 25%
No significant action • 25%
International NGO campaigns • 25%
EU or US diplomatic actions • 25%
Full release • 25%
Sentence reduction • 25%
Extended medical leave • 25%
Return to prison • 25%
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Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Other • 25%
United Nations • 25%
Amnesty International • 25%
Human Rights Watch • 25%