Market
What will be the international response to Israel's extended military presence in southern Lebanon by April 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Condemnation • 25%
Support • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Call for negotiations • 25%
Statements from the United Nations, the United States, or other major international bodies
Story
Israel to Extend Military Presence in Southern Lebanon to 90 Days, Cites Ceasefire Violations
Jan 4, 2025, 09:45 AM
Israel is expected to inform the United States that it will not withdraw its military forces from southern Lebanon after the 60-day period outlined in its ceasefire agreement with Hezbollah. The decision is based on the claim that the Lebanese army is failing to meet the terms of the agreement, while Hezbollah is reorganizing its ranks in the region. Additionally, U.S. Major General Jasper Jeffers, who chairs the ceasefire implementation committee, has reportedly informed Lebanese officials that Israel plans to extend its troop presence from 60 days to 90 days. This extension is due to the Lebanese army's slow deployment and failure to dismantle Hezbollah targets as stipulated in the ceasefire deal. Israel has also indicated that it will not allow residents of Lebanese border villages to return to their homes until its military presence is resolved.
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Condemnation • 25%
Support • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Increased diplomatic efforts • 25%
Sanctions against Israel • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
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UN sanctions on Hezbollah • 25%
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Full Withdrawal • 25%
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UN imposes sanctions on Israel • 25%
No significant international action • 25%
UN calls for peace talks • 25%
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No official response • 25%
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Increased Support for Lebanon • 25%
Call for Renewed Ceasefire • 25%
No Significant Response • 25%