Market
What will be the international response to Germany's stance on Assad supporters by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Supportive • 25%
Critical • 25%
Neutral • 25%
No Response • 25%
Official statements from international organizations and foreign governments
Story
Germany Warns Assad Regime Supporters Against Seeking Refuge, Vows Full Force of Law
Dec 15, 2024, 06:58 AM
German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock and Interior Minister Nancy Faeser have issued a stern warning to supporters of the ousted Syrian President Bashar al-Assad against seeking refuge in Germany. Baerbock emphasized that Germany would hold all regime henchmen accountable for their heinous crimes with the full force of the law. This warning comes in the context of a rebel alliance, led by Islamists, taking power in Syria, leading to Assad's flight to Russia. Germany has already convicted several former Syrian officials under the principle of universal jurisdiction for crimes committed during Assad's rule. The ministers highlighted Germany's vigilance at its borders, aiming to deter Assad's supporters from fleeing to the country. This stance is part of a broader message from German officials that well-integrated Syrian refugees are welcome to stay, while those involved in atrocities will face prosecution. There are currently around 975,000 Syrians in Germany, and border checks are in place to prevent the entry of Assad's henchmen.
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Neutral • 25%
Mixed • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Critical • 25%
Widespread success in seeking refuge • 25%
Some attempts successful • 25%
Attempts made but prevented • 25%
No attempts made • 25%
Continued neutrality • 25%
Increased support for HTS • 25%
Increased support for Syrian opposition • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Widespread condemnation • 25%
General support • 25%
No significant response • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
U.S. rejects offer • 25%
Other • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
U.S. supports Assad • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Other • 25%
Sanctions against Syria • 25%
Support for government in exile • 25%
Humanitarian aid agreement • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Other diplomatic developments • 25%
Embassy reopening • 25%
Support for opposition • 25%
Condemnation of offensive • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Calls for ceasefire/negotiation • 25%
Opposition to new government • 25%
No significant support • 25%
Strong support and aid • 25%
Limited support and aid • 25%
Diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
Other actions • 25%
No significant action taken • 25%
Sanctions imposed on Russia • 25%