Market
Will Germany increase border security targeting Assad supporters by mid-2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the German government or Interior Ministry
Story
Germany Warns Assad Regime Supporters Against Seeking Refuge, Vows Full Force of Law
Dec 15, 2024, 06:58 AM
German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock and Interior Minister Nancy Faeser have issued a stern warning to supporters of the ousted Syrian President Bashar al-Assad against seeking refuge in Germany. Baerbock emphasized that Germany would hold all regime henchmen accountable for their heinous crimes with the full force of the law. This warning comes in the context of a rebel alliance, led by Islamists, taking power in Syria, leading to Assad's flight to Russia. Germany has already convicted several former Syrian officials under the principle of universal jurisdiction for crimes committed during Assad's rule. The ministers highlighted Germany's vigilance at its borders, aiming to deter Assad's supporters from fleeing to the country. This stance is part of a broader message from German officials that well-integrated Syrian refugees are welcome to stay, while those involved in atrocities will face prosecution. There are currently around 975,000 Syrians in Germany, and border checks are in place to prevent the entry of Assad's henchmen.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Increased support for Syrian opposition • 25%
Continued neutrality • 25%
Increased support for HTS • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No closures • 25%
Complete closures • 25%
Other measures • 25%
Partial closures • 25%
Critical • 25%
Mixed • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Initiate deportations • 25%
Increase support • 25%
Maintain current policy • 25%
Decrease support • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Increased support for border controls • 25%
Decreased support for border controls • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Some attempts successful • 25%
Widespread success in seeking refuge • 25%
No attempts made • 25%
Attempts made but prevented • 25%