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What will be the international response to Assad's offer by March 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
U.S. supports Assad • 25%
U.S. rejects offer • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from the U.S. and Western governments or credible news reports
Story
Assad Seeks U.S. Support, Offers to Cut Ties with Iran, Hezbollah Amid Opposition Pressure
Dec 7, 2024, 07:22 PM
Syrian President Bashar al-Assad has reportedly reached out to the United States through back-channels in the United Arab Emirates, offering to sever all ties with Iran and Hezbollah. This proposal comes with the condition that the U.S. and Western countries assist Assad in remaining in power or ensuring his safe exit. Bloomberg reports, citing informed sources, that Assad is seeking an agreement that would either allow him to retain control over the remaining areas under his authority or secure his safe exile if necessary. The offer was made amidst increasing pressure from opposition forces entering Damascus, signaling Assad's desperation to negotiate a deal.
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Support from multiple countries • 25%
No support • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Support from Israel only • 25%
United States • 25%
None by the deadline • 25%
Russia • 25%
European Union • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Widespread condemnation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
General support • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
No response • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Support • 25%
Other actions • 25%
No significant action taken • 25%
Diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
Sanctions imposed on Russia • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Diplomatic recognition of new government • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Sanctions against Syria • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Other • 25%
Support for government in exile • 25%
Critical • 25%
No official response • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other • 25%
Calls for peace • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
No official response • 25%
Other diplomatic actions • 25%
Sanctions by Western countries • 25%
Increased sanctions on Syria • 25%
Calls for peace talks • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Military intervention • 25%