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What will be the international legal response to Greenland ownership claims by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Case filed in international court • 25%
Bilateral negotiations without court intervention • 25%
No legal action taken • 25%
Other legal development • 25%
Reports from international legal bodies such as the International Court of Justice
Story
Trump Threatens High Tariffs if Denmark Refuses to Give Up Greenland
Jan 7, 2025, 05:26 PM
President Donald Trump has declared that the United States needs Greenland for national security purposes and questioned Denmark's legal claim to the territory, stating, 'People don't even know if Denmark has any legal right to it. But if they do, they should give it up because we need it for national security.' Trump hinted at imposing high tariffs on Denmark if it does not relinquish control of Greenland, saying, 'I will tariff Denmark at a very high level.' He emphasized the strategic importance of Greenland for protecting the free world, referencing the presence of Russian and Chinese ships in the region.
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No legal decision made • 25%
Denmark's sovereignty challenged • 25%
Denmark's sovereignty upheld • 25%
Other legal outcome • 25%
Opposition from major countries • 25%
Support from major countries • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
Neutral stance from major countries • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Bilateral negotiations with US • 25%
Legal challenge at international court • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other diplomatic/legal action • 25%
Opposition from major allies • 25%
No official response • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Support from major allies • 25%
NATO supports Denmark • 25%
No significant international action • 25%
UN intervenes diplomatically • 25%
EU issues sanctions against U.S. • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Condemnation • 25%
Support • 25%
Other • 25%
Neutral • 25%
No resolution reached • 25%
Other • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
U.S. imposes tariffs • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Opposed • 25%
No official response • 25%
Neutral • 25%
No significant action • 25%
U.S. diplomatic initiative • 25%
France deploys troops • 25%
Denmark increases military presence • 25%
Increased defense spending • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Policy changes regarding Greenland • 25%
Change in Danish government • 25%